Statistics › Section N · Counting, Bayesian inference, and multiple regression › Topic N.1

Counting, permutations, and combinations

The counting formula from the binomial chapter was borrowed without proof; this is its home. With replacement, without replacement, order or not - a few systematic rules count outcomes too many to list, and with equally likely outcomes, counting IS probability.

In this topic

  • Why count?
  • The multiplication principle
  • Factorials: counting arrangements
  • Permutations: ordered selections
  • Combinations: unordered selections
  • The key question: does order matter?
  • Worked example: lottery odds
  • Worked example: probability from counting
  • The birthday surprise
  • Common mistakes to avoid
  • Key takeaways

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