Statistics › Section H · Confidence intervals › Topic H.4

Interval for a proportion

More than half of the country approves, says the poll - and the honest question is how much wobble that number carries. The proportion confidence interval answers it, and every news-story margin of error is its half-width.

In this topic

  • The pollster's interval
  • The formula
  • Conditions: counts must be large enough
  • Worked example: the voter poll
  • Worked example: clinic satisfaction
  • What 95% confident means
  • The margin covers only sampling error
  • Confidence, width, and the population's size
  • Common mistakes to avoid
  • Key takeaways

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