Macroeconomics › Section J · International trade and capital flows › Topic J.2

Trade balances in historical context

A single year's trade deficit says little on its own. Set against six decades of US data and the experience of other countries, the numbers start to tell a story about booms, recessions, budgets and saving.

In this topic

  • Why look at the long record
  • An old argument about surpluses
  • The United States before 1980
  • The deficits of the 1980s
  • Worked example: imports outrun exports, 1981-1987
  • Two decades of widening deficits
  • Worked example: two recessions compared
  • The rise of services
  • Other countries, other patterns
  • Common mistakes to avoid
  • Key takeaways

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