Discrete Math › Section D · Counting › Topic D.10

Random variables and expected value

A random variable turns each outcome of an experiment into a number, and its expected value is the long-run average of that number. Linearity of expectation, combined with simple 0-or-1 variables, solves counting-flavoured problems that would be very hard to attack directly.

In this topic

  • From outcomes to numbers
  • Expected value
  • Worked example: is the raffle worth it?
  • Linearity of expectation
  • Indicator variables
  • Worked example: names drawn from a hat
  • Worked example: shared birthdays
  • Waiting times and coupon collecting
  • Spread: the variance
  • Common mistakes to avoid
  • Key takeaways

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